HORSE. Beyer Speed Figures - What are they? - Bet Thoroughbreds After the entries came out, the racing office re-checked the weights, Benoit said. (Exceptions: Going back to 1955, the Kentucky Derby winners who werent either first or second a furlong from the finish in his or her last two starts have been Tim Tam in 1958, Carry Back in 1961, Cannonade in 1974, Gato Del Sol in 1982, Unbridled in 1990, Sea Hero in 1993 and Rich Strike in 2022, with Canonero II in 1971 unknown.) (Going back to 1973, no horse has added blinkers or had blinkers removed in his or her last start at 3 before winning the Kentucky Derby.) He has produced. Practical Move 2. But Justify has proven thus far that he is the best in this 3-year-old class. ; of $30,000 since December 25, 1966, $13,000 twice since May 9, 1967 or $13,000 since April 8, 1968, 12 lbs. Maybe well have a horse for the Saudi Cup next year. Espinoza's up to 19th in earnings for jockeys at $185,008,725. 316 miles (1, 900 m) ) on dirt. The greater the number, the faster the horse was that race. Knowing how to decipher the form can make you a more informed bettor. Handal added that Jorge Vargas, Jr., aboard for the Gazelle victory, would most likely retain the mount for the Oaks. During this period, the only horses to finish second or third in the Kentucky Derby without having raced at 2 were Hampden, who finished third in 1946; Coaltown, second in 1948; Agitate, third in 1974; Reinvested, third in 1982; Strodes Creek, second in 1994; Curlin, third in 2007; Bodemeister, second in 2012; and Battle of Midway, third in 2017.) All but two winners Animal Kingdom in 2011 and Mine That Bird in 2009 had run at least a 95 Beyer figure before the Derby. Racing over a fast main track, Arabian Knight covered 7 furlongs in 1:21.98 to generate an eye-catching 97 Beyer Speed Figure. Winning Speed Figures through December, 8th - December, 14th . At the time of the 1968 Californian, Bob Benoit was Hollywood Parks director of publicity. For my birthday, I gave my mom to friends. When Dr. Fager put together one of the greatest campaigns by a Thoroughbred in American racing history in 1968, one of his victories came in the Californian. Knicks Go - Knicks Go - abcdef.wiki We were looking for a (son of) Quality Road for racing in Saudi Arabia, Lanz said. type. Also, Derma Sotogakes UAE figure would be higher than the Beyer for the older Ushba Tesoras victory on the same card in the second-richest horse race in the world, the $12 million Dubai World Cup. country to country. On the 50th anniversary of his Triple Crown, why Secretariat still resonates today. As for Kentucky basketballs future roster construction, pardon the mess. The eight Kentucky Derby winners with two strikes were Cannonade (1974), Ferdinand (1986), Sea Hero (1993), Funny Cide (2003), Giacomo (2005), Justify (2018), Country House (2019) and Rich Strike (2022). Beyer Speed Figures assign a numerical value to thoroughbred racehorses in the US and Canada, where the top stakes horses will have numbers in the 100's, while even better performances will be in the 120's. The Beyer Speed number is used exclusively with the Daily Racing Form. ( 45) Skinner 23. American Pharoah had to battle better talent (in my opinion) in Dortmund, Frosted and Keen Ice. 2. A Derby rule meant that a horse needed to have done this or that, or not done this or that, in order to win the Kentucky Derby. ( 40) Mandarin Hero 26. Mandarin Hero 10. I thought the price was fair, Wade said. The Beyer Speed Figure (more on that below) is the bold number. American Pharoah wins Haskell Stakes (photo via Monmouth Park). Longtime Washington Post columnist Andy Beyer created the Beyer Speed Figures, first appearing in his groundbreaking handicapping book Picking Sportsbooks in 1975. It just depends on which ones you look at, Romans said. Donk said it is special to train both Thin White Duke and Yes and Yes, who moved to his barn last spring when their previous conditioner, co-owner Gleaves, retired from training. Tapit Trice 4. 1. According to the DSS, excluding the Kentucky Derby of 2020 when the race was run in September, 83% of the Kentucky Derby winners (40 out of 49) have had zero strikes or one strike going back to 1973. Horseplayers without the Beyers would assume Destin was the quicker horse by about a length. Sunday's Cross Country Pick 5 Includes Racing From Aqueduct, Oaklawn However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. Although this isnt the Golden Era of horse racing we experienced in the 1970s, its feeling pretty close. With his horses having earned $229,584,945, Baffert is into the top five all-time having recently passed the great Bobb Frankel's $227,912,709. I know Yes and Yes will handle it as hes won well at that distance and loves the course, said Donk. Beyer Speed Figures; Wagering; PPs; Featured Tracks . I was looking for 49, 1:01 and four and a 1:15 or 16 gallop out and she did it perfectly. Ethics | Based on an . Last year, the winners of those same 14 preps averaged a 98.1. 215 Stilleto Boy (3) 3. It's not yet known for how much the Triple Crown winner will stand for after eight of his nine victories came at the Grade I level. And to win this years Kentucky Derby, you dont have to be the fastest horse in the history of the race. This came after she started a half-beat slow and raced through traffic during the early stages. She was bought for $75,000 at the 2022 OBS Spring Sale of 2-Year-Olds in Training. If you are a casual sports fan getting ready to check out the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown, you are going to hear plenty of talk about Beyer Speed Figures. Eight horses in last years Kentucky Derby field had run a Beyer figure of 100 or better. (The horse has not added blinkers or had blinkers removed in his or her final start at 3 before the Kentucky Derby.) Perhaps this class would be viewed better had McKinzie not been injured and taken off the Derby Trail. MY KENTUCKY DERBY TOP 10 There are no changes to my Kentucky Derby Top 10 from last week. After Street Senses 93 BSF in the Blue Grass, he took a giant leap to a 110 Beyer when he won the 2007 Kentucky Derby by 2 1/2 lengths. Preakness Stakes Contender Speed Figures | All Horse Racing . Please visit gambleaware.co.uk or gamcare.org.uk for guidelines on responsible gaming. American Pharoah's racing career by the numbers - The Courier-Journal Careers | A half brother to stakes winner The Grass Is Blue, Peaceful Waters is out of the winning, stakes-placed mare Shine Softly, by Aldebaran. 90 Two Phils 8. They are listed below: Beyer Horse (Finish, Race) 101 Two Phils (1st, Jeff Ruby) 100 Practical Move (1st, Santa Anita Derby) 100 Practical Move (1st, San Felipe) 100 Mandarin Hero (2nd, Santa Anita Derby) There were no official Beyers for the UAE Derby. Reach Kentucky mens basketball and football reporter Ryan Black at rblack@gannett.com and follow him on Twitter at @RyanABlack. Last year, American Pharoah, he was exceptional. LEXINGTON, Ky. -- After American Pharoah rolled to a win Saturday in the Breeders' Cup Classic at Keeneland, trainer Bob Baffert quipped, "You'll probably get that big Beyer you guys were looking for today. When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. Thats if you go by the Beyer Speed Figures, the calculations put forth by the writer, longtime horse player and numbers savant Andrew Beyer published by the Daily Racing Form. American Pharoah impresses in Preakness | Daily Racing Form The mile is still a bit of a question mark, Handal said. But when the Kentucky Derby returned to its traditional date of the first Saturday in May in 2021 and 2022, the Derby Strikes System again was viable. By comparison, American Pharoah earned Beyers of 105 for his wins in the Arkansas Derby and the Kentucky Derby. Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher, who will saddle Repole Stable and St. Elias Stables formidable multiple Grade 1-winner Forte in the Grade 1 Kentucky Derby on May 6, will also bring a strong contender for Repole Stable to the May 5 Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks in the New York-bred Gambling Girl. Archive I interviewed Baeza in 2006 at Santa Anita. . There have only been 13 Triple Crown winners. But then I remembered just what a fantastic race Zenyatta ran to win her BC Classic. Photo: Keeneland Photo/Photos by ZInto Mischief colt Talladega consigned as Hip 76 at theKeeneland April Selected Horses of Racing Age Sale, Hes just a lovely horse, said Tom Clark, who signed the ticket. Dortmound ran a 106 to win last years Santa Anita Derby; Exaggerator a 103 this year. His 82 percent win rate of top-20 earners sits behind only Zenyatta (95 percent), Invasor (92 percent) and Smarty Jones (89 percent). Pharoah had also run a 100-plus Beyer in his final prep race, the Arkansas Derby. And we found one.. The following, per Equibase.com The colt accumulated $8,650,300 in earnings during his career, good for seventh all-time. His 1:32 1/5 clocking shaved two-fifths of a second off the world record for one mile set by Buckpasser two years earlier at Arlington. Churchill Downs lists six other possibilities, all hoping for a defection or defections from the current 20-horse field. ELiTE, agent, was the sales leading consignor with sales of $2,612,000 for 18 horses. They also incorporate how fast a track is playing that particular day by comparing performances and times under the same conditions. He was a little bit hard to control. (154) Angel of Freedom 4. Hoffman Thoroughbreds and Tom McCrocklins Promiseher America recorded her final serious piece of work in preparation for the Grade 1, $1.25 million Kentucky Oaks on May 6 at Churchill Downs, when going a half-mile in 49.77 seconds over a fast Belmont Park training track. Third in the open company Top Flight on April 2 at Aqueduct last out, Timeless Journey could target the Grade 2, $200,000 Ruffian going a one-turn mile on May 6 at Belmont Park. Beyer: American Pharoah : 1 1/16m (ft) SA 9/27: 99: 101: Bayerd : 6 f (ft) RP 9/28: 99: 93: Ostrolenka : 1 m (ft) BEL 9/28: 94: 90: Goodoldhockeygame : 6 f (ft) WO 9/27 . 114 Derma Sotogake 7. Hopefully we can get some black type and stand him at stud.. David Ingordo, agent, paid $310,000 for the 4-year-old Dialed In ridgling Peaceful Waters, who earned a 92 Beyer Speed Figure when he captured a Keeneland allowance race . For KAS Stables, Lanz was the sales leading buyer with three purchases for a total of $930,000. BALTIMORE - I don't know how fast American Pharoah's Preakness score will come up on Beyer Speed Figures. 2 to No. colts and geldings carry 126 pounds (57 kg); fillies 121 pounds (55 kg) . Barbara D. Livingston Justify, under Mike Smith, wins the Belmont Stakes to become the 13th Triple Crown winner and remain unbeaten after six starts. through 04/28/2023. Some of these horses are a little lightly raced and theyre improving. American Pharoah ran a 105 to win last years Arkansas Derby; Creator a 96 this year. When I dropped Forte from No. Real-time updates and all local stories you want right in the palm of your hand. ELiTE, agent for White Birch Farm, consigned Spirit of St Louis, whose full sister Bar of Gold won the 2017 Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Sprint (G1). I dont think it matters for Duke, but the biggest thing that will probably help him is if he gets pace. 7. His fourth place last time out in the Florida Derby was a head . Braulio Baeza rode Dr. Fager in the Washington Park Handicap and in all of the headstrong 4-year-old colts other races that year other than his 1968 debut in which John Rotz was the pilot. Santa Anita Derby winner Practical Move heads into the Kentucky Derby as the only prospective participant in the 1 1/4-mile classic to have earned more than a single triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure (BSF). Then Wild on Ice (previous 3 Beyer . ( 64) Raise Cain 10. When a horse does not qualify in one of the eight categories, the horse receives a strike. Beyer Speed Figure question (Belmont) - Derby Trail Forums Going to take him to Laurel (Park) and give him to (trainer) Brittany Russell. Two have a 95 figure to their credit. The 149th Kentucky Derby (G1) presented by Woodford Reserve will be run on Saturday, May 6, at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. The case for Verifying, Skinner and Mage in the Kentucky Derby Curlin, No. 2023 www.courier-journal.com. Bred by Hibiscus Stables, Funny How is a half-sister to multiple New York-bred stakes winner Funny Guy. Gamely, the only filly in the field and a future Hall of Famer herself, finished second. Consignors are really happy; a lot of them were here today. Dark Horse Contender A contender that I've been keen on at a price for the Kentucky Derby for a long time is Two Phil's. It's also worth noting if the jockey has ridden the horse before, and how successful they've been together, or if it's the first time. The par time helps the figure makers compare times against different variables starting with class. For me, the standard by which to judge 3-year-olds the last 143 years has been the Triple Crown. The talented David Donk-trained duo ofThin White DukeandYes and Yesare slated to make their return to stakes level in the $150,000 Elusive Quality, a seven-furlong turf sprint for older horses, on May 6 at Belmont Park. Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. (100) Derma Sotogake 8. This points out horses who have the proper foundation and/or stamina for the Kentucky Derby distance. He produced a career best 120 Beyer Speed Figure-the top Beyer recorded this year and the highest ever recorded for a 3 year-old at a distance 1 1/4 mile or greater since Beyer Speed Figures were first recorded in 1993. . And I think he has a few more big wins left in the tank. Frequently Asked Questions. Jerardi: Pharoah needs to break his Beyer ceiling in Classic 253 Angel of Empire 5. Tapit Trice wins the 2023 Toyota Blue Grass (G1) Watch on American Pharoah Cements Status as All-Time Great with Breeders' Cup The single-session sale, which grossed $6.7 million, recorded across-the-board increases over 2022. Kueber Racing, Big Easy Racing, and Martin Schwartz paid $400,000 for Promise Me a Ride, a 3-year-old son of Masterywho won his career debut in March at Fair Grounds Race Course & Slots. What does this mean for those of us planning on visiting the betting window Saturday? Two Phils 9. For his 2 3/4-length win over Medina Spirit, he earned a 112 Beyer Speed Figure, highest of the weekend, according to the Daily Racing Form leaderboard. She did it all in-hand just floating over the ground. Note: No. Its purpose is to try and identify those horses having the best chance to win the Kentucky Derby from BOTH tactical and historical perspectives. All rights reserved. In nearly every Kentucky Derby prep race, last year's winning Beyer figure beat this year's Beyer figure. He may need to if he is beat some tough older horses in the Breeders' Cup Classic . This seems to point out that, if a horse is good enough to win the Kentucky Derby, the trainer is not searching for answers so late in the game. (A) denotes race on all-weather surface. Andrew Beyer Preakness Picks 2022 | Expert Preakness Predictions 2022 (The horse has finished at least third in a 1 1/8-mile race or longer before the Kentucky Derby.) Justify vs. American Pharoah: Who's Better? | Horse Racing News This was what he had to say about Dr. Fager: He was a great horse, a very competitive horse. Espinoza, Skinner playing waiting game for Ky. Derby ; of $70,000 once since July 25, 1967 or $50,000 twice since December 25, 1966, 6 lbs. The 120 Beyer Speed Figure for his BC Classic win actually matched American Pharoah's BC Classic figure. 2019 Kentucky Derby Speed Figure Heat Map - In the Money Media American Pharoah must be given credit for consistency. He ended his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for his Breeders Cup Classic win. (Exceptions: Funny Cide in 2003 and Mine That Bird in 2009 are the only geldings to win the Kentucky Derby since Clyde Van Dusen in 1929.) 342 Forte (29) 2. Fager was a singular performer as a 4-year-old in 1968, Charles Hatton wrote in the American Racing Manual. That one horse was 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, who like Forte was the Eclipse Award-winning 2-year-old male champion. This sale is really evolving, and there is a lot of energy and enthusiasm surrounding it. On the top right is a breakdown of a horse's career statistics, broken down by year as well as how it has fared on different surfaces. The track conditions on the day of the race also are abbreviations: "fr" (frozen), "fst" (fast), "gd" (good), "hy" (heavy), "my" (muddy), "sl" for slow, "sly" for sloppy, and "wf" (wet-fast). 'We Don't Know How Good He Is Yet': Baffert Ships Arabian Knight To But that's what I'm about to [] Talladega, a 3-year-old colt by Into Mischief, who defeated older horses in an Oaklawn Park allowance race on April 8 by 2 3/4 lengths, sold to Ahmad Alabdllatif for $320,000. She literally nailed the first eighth in 12 and three [seconds] and picked it up from there. American Pharoah won nine of his 11 races. Only three current candidates for the May 6 Kentucky Derby have an official triple-digit BSF to their credit. This suggests that he might not be first or second with a furlong left to run in the Kentucky Derby. Kentucky Derby 2015: Dortmund Leads Field of Contenders A run to the Triple Crown, plus the $5 million Classic, pushed Baffert and jockey Victor Espinoza past some notable names in their own professions. Beyer said that if his figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have earned a 139 Beyer for his Belmont Stakes victory. As far as I know, the horse is fine. Nerud: Then whats the bad news? Benoit: Well, there was a mistake in the weight Dr. Fager has to carry. Nerud: Is that right? But every other horse in the top seven made at least 23 starts. Also, American Pharoah's success as a son of Pioneerof the Nile recently led to a doubling of the horse's stud fee from $60,000 in 2015 to $125,000 in 2016. All systems are go.. The chestnut daughter of 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah was piloted by exercise rider Fernando Tapara and traveled the four furlongs outside of stablemateRibots Valentine. macalester college basketball coaches. Essentially the Beyer Speed Figure is a measurement where the Beyer number is a reflection of both the speed of the track when the race was run combined with the finishing time of the race. (Exceptions: Going back to 1955, the exceptions have been Venetian Way in 1960, Cannonade in 1974, Foolish Pleasure in 1975, Ferdinand in 1986, Silver Charm in 1997, Mine That Bird in 2009, Super Saver in 2010 and Mandaloun in 2021, with Canonero II in 1971 unknown.) Will Justify be raced that long? has a filly ever won the kentucky derby They are Reincarnate and Kingsbarns. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Saudi Arabian interests bought four of the top 10 offerings.. 5 triple digit Beyer Speed Figures in 2018. Keep in mind that 56 of the last 60 Kentucky Derby winners through 2022 have been first or second with a furlong to run. It's Post time by Jon White: A Hypothetical Race: The Last 11 Breeders Since the figures began being published in 1991, seven Kentucky Derby winners had the best Beyer among all Derby entrants in their last-outs, i.e. "It would entail a lengthy search to find a better representative of the Thoroughbred breed Justify exudes power Which have good closing speed or seem to fall off in the final furlongs? When I saw (Commissioner Dan) and saw his numbers and saw he is by Commissioner (sire of 2023 Saudi Derby winner Commissioner King), I told them (we should bid on him). Figures that take ground loss into account will like the race even better since Scylla was parked four to five paths wide around the turn. And if you go by those numbers, this years Derby field is not exactly a distinguished crop. This points out horses who have shown they have the class to win a graded stakes race. 5. As a believer and maker of my own figures for almost four decades, it . 261 Practical Move (1) 4. (190) Forte 2. It begins with the date, listed in day-month-year format. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. Beyer Speed Figure question (Belmont) Steve, If you get the chance to ask Andy on a future occasion, I was wondering if the comparison of American Pharoah's Belmont performance versus that of Secretariat would change either quantity from a speed figure perspective. 171 Clairiere 6. The son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense also received a 94 Beyer for his half-length victory in the $200,000 San Vicente Stakes (G2) Feb. 6 at Santa Anita in his previous start. With Justifys breeding rights sold for a record $75 Million, I wouldnt count on it. American Pharoah won eight Grade 1 races in his short career. I dont need somebody doing a mathematical formula telling me he ran well.. Frosted ran a 103 to win last years Wood Memorial; Outwork a 93 this year. Carmel Road, who sold for $260,000 to Pedro Lanz, agent for KAS Stables, was runner-upin the Los Alamitos Futurity (G2) to Practical Move, second on the list of leading point earners to the May 6Kentucky Derby (G1). Study the splits generally measured in quarter-mile increments but sometimes starting at a half mile depending on the length of the race after that. In those years, the conditions for the 1 1/8-mile Californian were extremely complicated. 8. 68 Mage 10. He attributes his love for horse racing to two things: his grandfather who used to listen to horse races on the radio broadcasted from the now defunct Ak-Sar-Ben race track in Omaha, Nebraska and a Sports Illustrated subscription in the 1970s. That boosted his total to 46 points, putting him into Kentucky Derby 149. For context: The highest BSF since he created the system was a 133 by Groovy in 1987. mount st helens visitor center. 2022 Kentucky Derby Watch: Baffert and the top 10 contenders She breezed great today. ( 46) Disarm 19. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. A good Beyer Speed Figure is anything above 100; a figure 115 or greater means the horse is considered among the best in the United States. Most recently second, beaten 1 lengths in the Grade I Del Mar Futurity going seven furlongs on Sept. 7 . D.J. Fortes declining Beyer Speed Figure pattern piqued my curiosity. additional, Non-winners of $50,000 twice since December 25, 1967 allowed 3 lbs. Those 20 points are all that First Mission has earned, which are not early nearly enough to get into the Kentucky Derby starting gate. Other acquisitions were Carmel Road, a 3-year-old grade 2-placed colt by Quality Road, for $260,000, and Naval Aviator, a 4-year-old stakes-placed Tapit colt, for $170,000. A good horse generally holds a Beyer number around 100 while the best horses rate in the mid 110's to 120's. Verifying FIRST MISSION TAKES LEXINGTON STAKES First Mission announced his candidacy for the Preakness Stakes by winning the Grade III Lexington Stakes at Keeneland last Saturday (April 15). We saw him for the first time a few days ago. He is from the family of grade 1-placed National Treasure. The points are listed below (if two or more horses have the same number of points, the tiebreaker is earnings in non-restricted stakes race): Rank (Points) Horse 1. When they did that, they found a mistake had been made. 3. It usually takes a triple-digit BSF to win the Kentucky Derby. American Pharoah had to battle better talent (in my opinion) in Dortmund, Frosted and Keen Ice. What time is the Kentucky Derby?Here's your complete guide to the 2023 race. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country. He has won at 1 1/16 miles and at 5 1/2 furlongs in Saratoga, so he should be OK.. Although there have been some grumblings that the 2018 sophomore class is not up to snuff with more recent classes, I think this is a great class but, admittedly, I dont think its as good as American Pharoahs in 2015. In two of that years Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. 2022 preakness tv coverage and post time . See how much is different since 1973. Jerardi: Slight edge to American Pharoah over Justify on speed figures I wondered, Has any Kentucky Derby winner during the Beyer Speed Figure era had a declining pattern in his final three starts prior to the Run for the Roses, a la Forte? The Beyer Speed Figures were first published in Daily Racing Forms Kentucky Derby past performances in 1992. David Lanigan, agent for Heider Family Racing, paid $310,000 for Hibernacle, a 2-year-old filly by Hootenanny, who on April 12 won her debut by 7 1/2 lengths at Keeneland. Email. Michael is a pharmacist by profession, author of Masten Gregory: Totally Fearless as well as a horse racing blog that can be found at: www.thederbyhandicapper.com. Sponsorship Opportunities, Promiseher America perfect in final breeze for G1 Kentucky Oaks, Lifetime of Chance garners 87 BSF for NYSSS Times Square victory, G3 Gazelle runner-up Gambling Girl en route to Churchill Downs for G1 Kentucky Oaks; Expressman to target G3 Westchester, G1 Jaipur within realm of possibility for Nothing Better, Lord Miles registers 93 BSF for 59-1 upset score in G2 Wood Memorial.